Misconceptions About Even the Prepared's Chances WTSHTF - Conclusion

Even beer trucks won't be spared!

Misconception number seven:
You can defend your castle.  There are many whose survival plan is simple, get guns and murder for food.  If you have food then you are a potential victim. As noted above, there are exceptions to the general lack of planning in criminals; some dangerous few are leaders, strategic, tactically savvy, smart, determined and resourceful.  Finding a sidekick will be easy for them, there will be plenty of followers around. They only need to get lucky once; you have to be lucky every time you encounter one, or two, at a time.  Your inconspicuousness and insuring their inconvenience in finding you will serve you well.
In any circumstance, a fight you can avoid goes in the win column.

We wrongly think exclusively in terms of the entertaining fictional scenarios in the many books with a “what if” beginning to the detriment of other and perhaps more likely possibilities.

While useful thought provoking exercises, those stories often substitute for an honest nitty-gritty evaluation of our own strategy and ability and the likely behavior of others. In one sentence it is this: In a crisis, do not plan on doing things you have never done and do not plan on other people’s behavior to change, neither one is very likely. - Brain T

So what is the bottom line here? Well WTSHTF;
You will not be able to be bug out successfully,
most people - city dwellers included - will stay put,
you will not be able to successfully live off the land,
and being well prepared but constantly on the defense only delays the inevitable.

The solution; be prepared to do whatever it takes, and not rely on one strategy.
In the immortal words of Josey Wales; "Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you are not going to make it, then you got to get mean. I mean plumb, mad dog mean. Cause if you lose your head and give up, then you neither live nor win. That's just the way it is."